Brazil's Lula has a plan to rein in gun ownership. Will it work?

Jonathan Schmidt arrived at Federal Police headquarters in the center of Rio de Janeiro with a travel bag carrying a golden pistol and seven rifles, one peeking out of the zipper.

“I’m in love with guns,” said Mr. Schmidt. “I’d have over 2,000 if the government allowed.”

Mr. Schmidt already has his firearms registered with the army, as required by law for sport shooters like him, but experts have cast doubt on the reliability of its database and said lax oversight has allowed such guns to fall into criminal hands. Mr. Schmidt was adding his guns to the police registry on Wednesday to comply with a push by Brazil’s new left-wing president.

Over four years in office, former President Jair Bolsonaro tried to convert a country with few weapons into one where firearm ownership and lack of regulation meant personal freedom. Now, his successor Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva has been moving to undo Mr. Bolsonaro’s pro-gun policies, and that starts with requiring gun owners to register their weapons with police. After initial resistance, he started seeing some success.

In Brazil’s last gun control campaign, in 2003, Brazilians were invited to turn in their guns and receive a symbolic payment from the state. It boasted a high level of participation.

In the eyes of right-wing Mr. Bolsonaro, however, the disarmament statute was a historic blunder. Echoing aspects of American conservatism, he was the first Brazilian presidential candidate to campaign on a pro-gun platform, saying “good citizens” are entitled to firearms to protect their families and assets. He altered the rules for how much ammunition one can possess and access to restricted-caliber guns, such as submachine guns. He repeatedly claimed that “an armed populace will never be enslaved.”

Instituto Sou da Paz, a nonprofit that monitors public security, estimates that the number of guns in civilian hands nearly tripled – to 2.2 million in a country of 214 million people – under Mr. Bolsonaro. It remains far lower than in the United States, and Brazil has no constitutional right to bear arms.

“We had sharp growth in firearm access, including restricted-use weapons,” Michele dos Ramos, who is leading the workgroup in charge of gun policy within the Justice Ministry, told The Associated Press by phone. “In order to write any guidelines to restructure gun and ammunition policies and regulations, it is important we have a diagnosis of the situation of these weapons.”

On his first day in office, Lula issued a decree requiring gun owners to register their weapons with the Federal Police, and the original deadline was delayed until May 3. At Rio’s Federal Police headquarters, officers have registered guns belonging to as many as 50 people per day. But they were wary.

“There was a lot of concern primarily at the beginning when they arrived here. They believed we were going to confiscate their guns,” Marcelo Daemon, the head of the Rio police’s department overseeing arms control, said in an interview in his office. “A lot of fake news circulated on social media and people came here with fear.”

Some politicians contributed to general reluctance. On March 17, federal lawmaker Julia Zanatta shared a picture of herself holding a machine gun and wearing a T-shirt bearing the words “COME AND TAKE IT” and an image of Lula’s hand pierced by three bullet holes. Paulo Bilynskyj, a lawmaker and former police chief from Sao Paulo, shared instructions to follow in case one’s weapons were seized.

“We have a more armed country, a stronger gun culture, more representatives focused on the pro-gun agenda,” said Carolina Ricardo, executive director of Instituto Sou da Paz, adding that Congress will be the “thorn in the side” of groups pushing for stricter gun control. The so-called bullet caucus of pro-gun lawmakers gained dozens of new seats in last year’s election.

Before the registration initiated by Lula’s government, the army gathered and retained data on gun ownership for sport shooters, collectors, and hunters, known as CACs. Mr. Bolsonaro scrapped the requirement for such registrants to undergo the arduous process of submitting documentation, justification, and psychological exams to the Federal Police, which for its part registers guns owned for self-defense, and so limited the force’s visibility on the total number of guns in circulation.

Army data indicates 762,365 firearms were purchased by CACs since May 7, 2019, when Mr. Bolsonaro made major changes to firearm and ammunition access. But Instituto Sou da Paz and the Igarape Institute, another security-focused nonprofit, estimate the figure fails to reflect roughly 100,000 additional guns, based on data collected via freedom of information requests.

By requiring in-person registration, the government hopes to determine precisely how many guns and what types are no longer with their original owners and, potentially, in the hands of criminal groups.

Gun advocates have mostly come around, though some have encouraged their followers to do so only begrudgingly. Marcos Pollon, a federal lawmaker who leads a pro-gun group often compared to the National Rifle Association, in mid-March called the government effort “absolutely illegal and unconstitutional.” A week later, he published a video on YouTube, where he has over 150,000 subscribers, saying he registered his gun and that those who don’t will face the consequences.

The government’s next steps remain unclear, however. The group led by Ms. Ramos had been scheduled to deliver a series of recommendations to the government by the May 3 deadline.

Ms. Ricardo said future government actions could include new rules further limiting the ammunition and guns each person can possess, and integrating the army and Federal Police databases.

Lula’s Jan. 1 decree established that guns not registered by the deadline can be seized. That means those who failed to bring their guns to the Federal Police could find themselves in legal jeopardy, even if they are just pulled over on their way to the shooting range.

Mr. Schmidt, the gun owner in Rio, had viewed the government’s effort as an embarrassment. But now, he says, he recognizes it is important for the Federal Police to know of all weapons owned by civilians.

“This way, we remain legal,” he said.

This story was reported by The Associated Press. AP writer David Biller and producer Diarlei Rodrigues contributed from Rio de Janeiro.