Top 4 threats against America: the good and bad news

America’s top spy chiefs and intelligence experts come together every year to share their best guesses about the biggest threats that will face the country in the year ahead. Here are the top four pieces of good and bad news to come out of the annual threat-assessment hearing in Congress Tuesday.

5. Al Qaeda: good news

REUTERS/File
New Al Qaeda leader Ayman al-Zawahri, seen here in 2011, is perceived as being less inspiring than was Osama bin Laden.

Osama bin Laden’s death has dealt a serious blow to the world’s most recognized terrorist group.

What works in America’s favor is that most Al Qaeda members find Al Qaeda’s new leader, Ayman al-Zawahiri’s leadership style "less compelling than bin Laden’s image as a holy man and warrior and will not offer him the deference they gave bin Laden.”

As a result, Clapper predicted that the core Al Qaeda organization will be “diminishing in operational importance” in the next two to three years. With continued counterterrorism operations, Clapper said that “there is a better-than-even chance that decentralization will lead to fragmentation of the movement within a few years.”

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