Top 4 threats against America: the good and bad news

America’s top spy chiefs and intelligence experts come together every year to share their best guesses about the biggest threats that will face the country in the year ahead. Here are the top four pieces of good and bad news to come out of the annual threat-assessment hearing in Congress Tuesday.

5. Al Qaeda: good news

REUTERS/File
New Al Qaeda leader Ayman al-Zawahri, seen here in 2011, is perceived as being less inspiring than was Osama bin Laden.

Osama bin Laden’s death has dealt a serious blow to the world’s most recognized terrorist group.

What works in America’s favor is that most Al Qaeda members find Al Qaeda’s new leader, Ayman al-Zawahiri’s leadership style "less compelling than bin Laden’s image as a holy man and warrior and will not offer him the deference they gave bin Laden.”

As a result, Clapper predicted that the core Al Qaeda organization will be “diminishing in operational importance” in the next two to three years. With continued counterterrorism operations, Clapper said that “there is a better-than-even chance that decentralization will lead to fragmentation of the movement within a few years.”

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Dear Reader,

About a year ago, I happened upon this statement about the Monitor in the Harvard Business Review – under the charming heading of “do things that don’t interest you”:

“Many things that end up” being meaningful, writes social scientist Joseph Grenny, “have come from conference workshops, articles, or online videos that began as a chore and ended with an insight. My work in Kenya, for example, was heavily influenced by a Christian Science Monitor article I had forced myself to read 10 years earlier. Sometimes, we call things ‘boring’ simply because they lie outside the box we are currently in.”

If you were to come up with a punchline to a joke about the Monitor, that would probably be it. We’re seen as being global, fair, insightful, and perhaps a bit too earnest. We’re the bran muffin of journalism.

But you know what? We change lives. And I’m going to argue that we change lives precisely because we force open that too-small box that most human beings think they live in.

The Monitor is a peculiar little publication that’s hard for the world to figure out. We’re run by a church, but we’re not only for church members and we’re not about converting people. We’re known as being fair even as the world becomes as polarized as at any time since the newspaper’s founding in 1908.

We have a mission beyond circulation, we want to bridge divides. We’re about kicking down the door of thought everywhere and saying, “You are bigger and more capable than you realize. And we can prove it.”

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