“Yes,” says Boaz, “at this point you’d have to call him a long shot. But, he’s a long shot in a primary with no frontrunner and a Republican electorate who’s looking for somebody different.”

Joshua Sudock/o44/o44/ZUMA Press/Newscom
Gary Johnson, popular former GOP governor of New Mexico meets with the Orange County Register's editorial board at the newspaper's Santa Ana, Calif. headquarters on May 19, 2010. Mr. Johnson announced on April 21 that he would run for president in 2012.