2021
September
27
Monday

Monitor Daily Podcast

September 27, 2021
Loading the player...
Clayton Collins
Director of Editorial Innovation

Misinformation does more than arm dinner-table combatants with dubious talking points. With social media reach it bolsters false narratives, sways political constituencies, and influences policymakers on issues from abortion to climate science to vaccines.

Algorithms boost stories. And algorithms are about engagement, not accuracy. A blaring declaration can outplay a nuanced exploration.

So much for the wisdom of crowds, right?

That’s where it gets interesting. A new paper in Science Advances maintains that “layperson ratings” of the objective truthfulness of news can be surprisingly accurate. Could they be scalable tools in fighting misinformation?

Assembled groups of lay readers studied were diverse, including in stated political leanings. Individuals made determinations independently.

The action was predictably chaotic, but “even if the ratings of individual laypeople are noisy and ineffective, aggregating their responses can lead to highly accurate crowd judgments,” reads the paper. At 22 members, groups began outperforming the work of professional fact-checking sites.

“Our sense of what is happening is people are ... asking themselves, ‘How well does this line up with everything else I know?’” David Rand, an MIT professor and lead researcher, tells Wired. “You don’t need all the people to know what’s up. By averaging the ratings, the noise cancels out and you get a much higher resolution signal.” 

That doesn’t mean shoving professionals aside. In the researchers’ view it’s just one more way for social platforms to foster a hierarchy of the credible.

“You want to be assigning ... some score on this continuous slider of totally accurate to pants-on-fire false,” Professor Rand tells Wired. “What I would do if I [were] them is, the worse it is the more you demote it.”


You've read  of  free articles. Subscribe to continue.

Today’s stories

And why we wrote them

David Goldman/AP/File
U.S. soldiers sit beneath an American flag just raised to commemorate the 10th anniversary of the 9/11 attacks at Forward Operating Base Bostick in Afghanistan's Kunar province on Sept. 11, 2011.

The outcome of the longest U.S. war underscores a distaste for counterinsurgencies. But the need to engage in those may recur – even as the need to manage big-power conflicts also grows. 

A deeper look

Ann Hermes/Staff
A dry Acequia la Rosa de Castilla on Aug. 20, 2021, near Placitas, New Mexico. The ditches were used in former Spanish colonies for irrigation and are still mutually managed and widely used in New Mexico.

As drought and climate change pose new challenges to New Mexico’s water supply, we look at responsive efforts to expand a tradition of shared access to water, long a scarce communal resource.

How to draw people back to a now desolate region? The hope in this part of Russia’s Arctic is that pocketbook incentives will be a lure, returnees will find a sense of place, and that will contribute to a region’s rebirth.

Race is a topic that can be much easier to skirt than to confront. Tapping the power of open conversation was this writer’s way through her fear of addressing it.

In Pictures

Matjaz Krivic
Najin, one of the last two northern white rhinos left in the world, rests in the afternoon sun with her caretaker Zachary Mutai in Ol Pejeta Conservancy.

Kenya’s protective approach to wildlife conservation has mostly proved successful. But for one nearly extinct species, what’s required now is a rethinking of both methods and expectations.


The Monitor's View

Reuters
German Chancellor Angela Merkel and the Social Democratic Party (SPD) candidate for chancellor, Olaf Scholz, attend a cabinet meeting in Berlin, Sept. 22.

The political style of Angela Merkel – patient, consensual, civil – is so ingrained in Germany after her 16 years in power that the three major candidates in Sunday’s election to replace her made a point of imitating her during the campaign. With the parliamentary elections over – and no party winning more than 26% of the vote – that style counts more than ever in Europe’s largest economy.

Negotiations to form what could be postwar Germany’s first three-party coalition are due to start soon. Already they are overshadowed by Ms. Merkel’s legacy for iron gentleness in finding compromises.

“No party can do that on its own,” said Armin Laschet, the candidate for chancellor from Merkel’s right-of-center Christian Democratic Union, which came in second. “We must overcome our differences and hold Germany together.”

Talks to assemble parliamentary majorities in Germany across ideological divides are rarely easy or quick. Ms. Merkel presided over one in 2009 that took weeks and resulted in a 158-page agreement among 27 politicians. The coming coalition is certain to be led by either the Christian Democrats or the Social Democrats, both of which predict talks may take up to three months. Either of those traditional parties will require a partnership with the third- and fourth-place winners, the Greens and the business-friendly Free Democratic Party.

Ms. Merkel’s negotiating style is to be meek enough to listen for the best ideas to float to the top. If opponents need to make difficult compromises, she tries to make sure they do not lose face. She also projects a forward-facing perspective. “Let us not ask what is wrong or what has always been. Let us first ask what is possible and look for something that has never been done before,” she once said.

The best leaders, she says, find a space within which “different interests can be balanced and compromises reached.” They also have an inner compass “that is based on overarching values.”

Her style of restraint and reflection have become a German export to other democracies. In a tribute to the chancellor two years ago, Christine Lagarde, now head of the European Central Bank, says Ms. Merkel’s objective is to reach a compromise that “leaves everyone a little bit dissatisfied but vastly better off.”  That spirit, she added, has “helped reshape our world.”

And in coming days, it may help bridge disagreements between Germany’s leading parties and shape a new post-Merkel government.


A Christian Science Perspective

About this feature

Each weekday, the Monitor includes one clearly labeled religious article offering spiritual insight on contemporary issues, including the news. The publication – in its various forms – is produced for anyone who cares about the progress of the human endeavor around the world and seeks news reported with compassion, intelligence, and an essentially constructive lens. For many, that caring has religious roots. For many, it does not. The Monitor has always embraced both audiences. The Monitor is owned by a church – The First Church of Christ, Scientist, in Boston – whose founder was concerned with both the state of the world and the quality of available news.

If frustration, discouragement, or fear threaten to overwhelm, we can open our hearts to God’s love, lighting the path to peace, joy, and healing.


A message of love

Geert Vanden Wijngaert/AP
A worker tends to plants on the rooftop of an urban building as part of the Atelier Groot Eiland project in Brussels, Sept. 27, 2021. The community-supported project contains four vegetable gardens where high-value crops are grown on a normally unused urban space.
( The illustrations in today’s Monitor Daily are by Jacob Turcotte and Karen Norris. )

A look ahead

Thanks for beginning your week with us. Come back tomorrow. We’ll be looking at Chattanooga, Tennessee, one of the first cities to modify a major downtown highway in order to offer better access for residents. It’s about more than infrastructure; it’s about new values that address demand for social justice reform. 

More issues

2021
September
27
Monday

Give us your feedback

We want to hear, did we miss an angle we should have covered? Should we come back to this topic? Or just give us a rating for this story. We want to hear from you.