2020
May
21
Thursday

Monitor Daily Podcast

May 21, 2020
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Mark Sappenfield
Senior global correspondent

“Even the very wise cannot see all ends,” Gandalf told Frodo in “The Fellowship of the Ring.”

At this moment, the tendency to predict the future can be overwhelming. News is dominated by questions of when the pandemic will end, what course it will take, and what it will change. We hear the world will never be the same again – from energy use to office spaces to education.

Undoubtedly there will be change, but in his article, “I Predict Your Predictions Are Wrong,” the Atlantic’s Yascha Mounk notes how resilient humanity is. Change is a powerful force, but so is continuity. And when it comes to predicting the path of the coronavirus, The New York Times’ Nicholas Kristof notes that “nonexperts are supremely confident in their predictions, while epidemiologists keep telling me that they don’t really know much at all.”

The point is not to alarm. But as Mr. Kristof says, it is to start with humility. Each moment presents an opportunity to put aside fears and be guided by reason, wisdom, and humanity. That brings its own kind of certainty. “Humanity will survive this pandemic,” writes Mr. Mounk. “In its aftermath, as after so many other disasters, we will learn to thrive anew.”


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Today’s stories

And why we wrote them

Lucy Nicholson/Reuters
A woman carries away fresh food at a Los Angeles Regional Food Bank giveaway of 2,000 boxes of groceries April 9, 2020. Food banks in Los Angeles County report an 80% increase in demand as unemployment has soared.

As all 50 states begin reopening this week, leaders are weighing tough questions that go to the core of the different values Americans hold dear.

Could an agricultural crisis change how many Italians view migrants? It might at least open a window to begin to address a deep-seated distrust.

Seeing their graduation ceremonies simply evaporate, college seniors are disappointed but undeterred. They’re finding other ways to commemorate their connections and accomplishments.

Essay

Courtesy of Sarah Khan
Writer Sarah Khan pauses in front of one of the famous ornamented doors of Zanzibar's Stone Town as children run by, in 2019 (left). A tantalizing iftar feast awaits at the home of Nassra Nassor in Zanzibar.

For this peripatetic travel writer, spending Ramadan isolated in her New York apartment has offered unexpected lessons in gratitude.

John Minchillo/AP
Jayden Deltoro (left) watches "Trolls World Tour" at the Four Brothers Drive In Theatre, May 15, 2020, in Amenia, New York. Innovators are looking at the drive-in model as a way for people to experience live events without being elbow to elbow.

Around the U.S. and the world, people are finding cozy comfort in a decades-old idea: the drive-in.


The Monitor's View

Reuters
People stand in line to receive food aid near Pretoria, South Africa, May 20.

Just a month ago in Africa’s largest economy, a reform that seemed impossible became possible. Nigeria ended subsidies that kept gasoline prices low. The government needed the revenue to deal with the COVID-19 emergency. It also began to make moves to reform its currency exchange rates and diversify its economy from a dependency on oil exports.

Across Africa, long-delayed reforms in governance are suddenly on the table. Both the challenge of the pandemic and the prospect of the continent’s first recession in over 25 years have put leaders on notice. Even before the coronavirus crisis is over, civic activists and international creditors are demanding deep reforms in badly managed regimes. 

In South Africa, this desire for structural change was echoed in a speech by President Cyril Ramaphosa, who also serves as the head of the 53-nation African Union: “We are resolved not merely to return our economy to where it was before the coronavirus, but to forge a new economy in a new global reality.”

So far, the only major reform being weighed in South Africa is a suggestion by Finance Minister Tito Mboweni to sell off the country’s money-losing public enterprises. Comprehensive reforms face a formidable obstacle. It is well-documented that, after 26 years in power, the ruling African National Congress is bloated with corruption and incompetence. Breaking its inertia will be a challenge even for Mr. Ramaphosa, who carries enormous credibility as a chief architect of South Africa’s democracy and for his success in business, but who seems little inclined to buck his party.

And then there are external constraints. For the first time, South Africa has asked for financial aid from the International Monetary Fund to help support a post-COVID-19 stimulus package. Nigeria has already received the largest IMF package ever for an African country – $3.4 billion.

Given the global economic impact of the virus crisis, South Africa and the rest of the continent may not be able to count too much on foreign help. And it should expect conditions attached to whatever it may obtain. African nations will need to draw on their previous experiences in making significant reforms. For South Africa, the relevant lesson is a recent one – the early post-apartheid years of the late 1990s when new institutions were formed.

“More than ever we need to be applying that lesson in the current crisis,” writes a group of South African academics and former officials in the Daily Maverick. “We know, moreover, a lot about how to do it. The challenge is to set this capability free.”

The virus crisis is liberating many Africans to demand greater resilience in their societies. There is no shortage of ideas from civil society and financial institutions about how to build a stronger post-pandemic economy.

“As Africans, we are used to being adaptive and innovative, often driven by necessity, and we do have an indefatigable capacity to stand on our own feet,” writes Alain Tschudin, executive director of Good Governance Africa. 

With the coronavirus exposing weak governance in Africa, its people are also tapping their strength to fix it.


A Christian Science Perspective

About this feature

Each weekday, the Monitor includes one clearly labeled religious article offering spiritual insight on contemporary issues, including the news. The publication – in its various forms – is produced for anyone who cares about the progress of the human endeavor around the world and seeks news reported with compassion, intelligence, and an essentially constructive lens. For many, that caring has religious roots. For many, it does not. The Monitor has always embraced both audiences. The Monitor is owned by a church – The First Church of Christ, Scientist, in Boston – whose founder was concerned with both the state of the world and the quality of available news.

If we’re feeling ill, it can often seem hard to think of anything but our own problem. But as a woman found out when faced with worsening flu symptoms, letting God’s limitless love fill our thoughts with a deeper love for humanity uplifts our viewpoint in powerful ways that also bring healing to the one praying.


A message of love

Ali Hashisho/Reuters
Children play in a pool on the rooftop of a building in Sidon, southern Lebanon, May 21, 2020. The country’s economy was already reeling before the coronavirus outbreak. The country's prime minister now warns of major food shortages.
( The illustrations in today’s Monitor Daily are by Karen Norris. )

A look ahead

Thank you for joining us today. Please come back tomorrow when our Sara Miller Llana looks at how past crises have brought not only challenges, but also change and fresh hopes – and what this crisis might bring.

And a reminder that we’re now giving you a place to track today’s faster-moving headline news that we’ll be reporting on more deeply soon.

More issues

2020
May
21
Thursday

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