2017
August
29
Tuesday

Monitor Daily Podcast

August 29, 2017
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Why did North Korea fire a missile over Japan Tuesday instead of at Guam, as it threatened three weeks ago?

Japan has long been its preferred military target, say analysts. This was the third missile test over Japan in recent years.

Guam was a bluff. And understanding Pyongyang’s likely intentions may help lower the fear – and risk of military escalation.

If North Korea believes the United States is going to attack in order to stop its nuclear weapons program, it needs a credible preemptive attack. Strategists say a first strike would likely target US bases in Japan, not the US mainland. Kim Jong-un’s big gamble, now that he has missiles that can reach the US, is that Washington will blink:

“Are we really willing to risk Los Angeles or Chicago in retaliation for an attack on a US military base [in Asia]?” one analyst asked in an interview with Eric Talmadge of The Associated Press. “Probably not.”

That’s probably why President Trump and Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe spent 40 minutes on the phone Tuesday.

If you’re a weak nation trying to gain respect, as we reported Monday, unpredictability may help Mr. Kim sow fear. But for a strong nation, getting drawn into Kim’s wild war dance may not be in its interests. It may be smarter to work with allies to defuse the situation, following Sun Tzu’s “Art of War”:

“The supreme art of war is to subdue the enemy without fighting.”

Now to our five stories for today.


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Today’s stories

And why we wrote them

Carlos Barria/Reuters
President Trump and first lady Melania Trump arrive in Corpus Christi, Texas, on Aug. 29. They received a briefing on tropical storm Harvey relief efforts before heading to Houston.

How a president responds to a natural disaster – a hurricane, earthquake, or tsunami – is often a key test of leadership. How’s President Trump doing with Harvey?

Presidential pardons are often seen as an act of mercy. But some argue President Trump’s first pardon uniquely undermines the US justice system.

Overlooked

Stories you may have missed
U S Air Force/Reuters
The X-37B Orbital Test Vehicle waits in the encapsulation cell of the Evolved Expendable Launch vehicle at the Astrotech facility in Titusville, Florida in this April,2010 handout photo provided by the US Air Force. The X-37B is the U.S.'s newest and most advanced unmanned re-entry spacecraft.

Some see North Korea’s missile threat as the latest reason to accelerate defense efforts in outer space with the aim of more security and stability on Earth. How is that going?

Jacob Turcotte/Staff; Photos: NASA, US Air Force

Ever since 9/11, the US has tried to get Pakistan to stop harboring Islamist terrorists, including the Taliban. Now, the Trump administration is warning Islamabad. Why might that work this time?

Difference-maker

Alessandro Bianchi/Reuters
The Rev. Mussie Zerai has helped some of the thousands of African migrants who have risked their lives to cross the Mediterranean Sea.

Our next story is about the compassion of one man and how a phone number on a Libyan prison wall led him to become a lifeline for thousands of refugees in distress.


The Monitor's View

AP Photo
North Korean government, leader Kim Jong Un, left, visits the Chemical Material Institute of Academy of Defense Science at an undisclosed location in North Korea.

One reason for a general decline in violence worldwide since World War II is that many nations and people no longer rely on preemptive violence, or attacking foes in anticipation of being attacked. The world is now bound closer by rules, trade, stable governments, and a greater knowledge of each other.

Yet this restraint against preemptive strikes is not assured. Just consider a few recent developments:

After North Korea fired a ballistic missile over Japan on Aug. 29, the Trump administration further raised the possibility of military action on the North’s nuclear facilities. “All options are on the table,” President Trump said. Even in pacifist Japan, nearly a third of people would favor a preemptive move.

Mr. Trump’s predecessor, Barack Obama, was ready in 2013 to launch a preemptive strike against Syria to prevent further use of its chemical weapons on its citizens. In 2003, President George W. Bush invaded Iraq on the premise that Saddam Hussein had the capacity to build or export weapons of mass destruction. And since the 9/11 attacks, all presidents have relied on “target killings” of terrorists deemed to be plotting attacks on Americans or others.

Closer to home, many members of extremist groups have justified violence during protests. On Aug. 12, a neo-Nazi demonstrator rammed a car into a group of anti-racist protesters in Charlottesville, Va., killing one. And in skirmishes in Berkeley, Calif., on Aug. 27, members of an anti-fascist movement (known as “antifa”) attacked right-wing demonstrators. Dartmouth College went so far as to issue a statement distancing the institution from the views of one of its lecturers, an expert on antifa, who supported violence by the “revolutionary left” movement against fascists during public protests.

The idea of preemptive attacks has a strong legal basis in international law. Nations are entitled to preemptive self-defense if an attack is considered “imminent.” But today’s threats are less clear-cut. Rogue states like North Korea or terrorist groups like Al Qaeda do not easily make known their intent or the exact whereabouts of their threat. And extremist groups in the United States rely on individuals or small groups to initiate attacks.

The world must be careful, however, not to easily accept preemptive violence as it once did. The days when kings, tribes, or clans would strike an enemy for the slightest threat have been replaced by a rise in organized governments granted a monopoly over the use of violence. And nations have steadily devised rules aimed at decreasing threats or they rely on international bodies, such as the United Nations, to justify a collective preemption attack.

As Harvard University professor Steven Pinker notes in his 2011 book, “The Better Angels of Our Nature: Why Violence Has Declined,” humanity has grown in its understanding and use of empathy as a tool for peace. Diplomacy and negotiation are preventing wars. The more people know of each other, the more they see their own good in the good of others. People’s “moral circles” have expanded.

The global trend away from violence, whether it be the murder of individual or a government’s use of armed missiles, requires vigilance to maintain it. And one of the best ways is to keep questioning those who too easily justify preemptive violence.


A Christian Science Perspective

About this feature

Each weekday, the Monitor includes one clearly labeled religious article offering spiritual insight on contemporary issues, including the news. The publication – in its various forms – is produced for anyone who cares about the progress of the human endeavor around the world and seeks news reported with compassion, intelligence, and an essentially constructive lens. For many, that caring has religious roots. For many, it does not. The Monitor has always embraced both audiences. The Monitor is owned by a church – The First Church of Christ, Scientist, in Boston – whose founder was concerned with both the state of the world and the quality of available news.

Most of us have probably at one time or another cared for someone else, or for a household, or even a business. While this work can be very rewarding, there may be times when we give so much of ourselves that we wish someone were taking care of us. In fact, we are being cared for: God, divine Love, is the source of unlimited, spiritual care for all. The mother of a very active family, contributor Heidi Van Patten has seen many times that we are as uplifted and embraced in Love’s divine care as those for whom we are caring. As we understand more of God’s infinite love for us, His beloved children, we find not only strength and endurance, but also a release from the burden of feeling that our ability to care for others could ever be limited or inadequate.


A message of love

Mohammad Ponir Hossain/Reuters
Rohingya children try to cross the border from Myanmar (Burma) into Bangladesh Aug. 29. They are among some 6,000 Rohingya civilians trying to escape violence in Myanmar, where recent Rohingya militant attacks on security forces have escalated an ongoing conflict. Bangladesh has closed the border to members of the stateless Muslim minority. The United Nations has appealed to the government in Dhaka to allow them in. (Watch for additional coverage in the Monitor Daily this week.)
( The illustrations in today’s Monitor Daily are by Jacob Turcotte. )

A look ahead

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2017
August
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Tuesday

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